MLB is entering the end of the season, and prize races are beginning to emerge. The Cy Young Award is no different, it includes a fun race that can go back to the last few matches
The Cy Young award is interesting because many voters have very different opinions on what should be worth their vote. Is it an era, victories, offensive strikes, or a combination of many stats like war? It will really come down to the voters’ interpretation.
With this in mind, we will try to give strength ratings to the top 10 Cy Young winners regardless of whether they are in the NL or AL.
It should be noted that this is not a list of the most deserving people, but rather ratings of how they get their voting points. This is not the same thing.
Shane Pepper
SP, Cleveland Guardians
Had Zach Wheeler made more than 138 runs at the time of this writing, he would take this spot.
With Wheeler out, that will place the 2020 Cy Young Award winner Shane Pepper At number 10. Bieber is having a great year.
Aside from a shaky July, when he had a 4.23 PM, Bieber had a very good season overall.
It is seventh among all shooters with 4.0 fWAR. He has a 2.96 ERA (129 ERA+) with 9.22 strikes per 9 rounds, and 5.03 walking strikes (k/bb). He has a total of 171 strokes, which is good for a sixth in the AL.
One of the reasons why it ranks 10th in the strength rankings is that it has a predicted ERA (xERA) of 3.52, so there is a chance that it will fall back. However, we can’t really count that against him, because it’s not reflected in his field results
Edwin Diaz
RP, New York Mets
A relief bowler rarely wins a Cy Young award. In fact, only 9 broadcasters have won, the last one being Eric Janney in 2003 when he had 55 saves and was in the middle of making 84 consecutive passes.
The odds are slim to Diaz to be the next winner, but he was completely dominant. He leads all relief pitchers in FWAR with a 2.5. The second best player is Ryan Helsley with a score of 2.0. In other words, Diaz was 25 percent better in terms of FWAR than the second-best pitcher in that category. This is madness.
In terms of fWAR, the league leader in fWAR is Aaron Nola with 5.3 in 177.1 innings. If Diaz had played these many roles, we’d have 8.3 fWAR.
Diaz has 29 saves, with 17 insane hits per 9 runs. Its K/BB ratio is also very good at 5.94. He has an ERA of 1.52 which is equivalent to ERA+258 (158% better than the league average).
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