August 16
The Atlantic Ocean is calm at the moment. A tropical wave currently located over the southern Caribbean is expected to move across Central America over the next few days and emerge over the Bay of Campeche, where an area of low pressure may form later this week. Formation odds are low (20%) but some gradual development of this system is possible as it moves northwest over the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend.
August 15
Our healthy low pressure system is going from southern Texas to Mexico this morning, and it’s taking the rain with it. While potentially heavy rain can still fall in southern Texas, our southeast Texas weather is mostly calm and dry.
August 14
The low level of the bay we’re monitoring has caused a ‘slump’ in Texas this morning, bringing heavy rain to areas between Corpus Christi and Brownsville. We’re still getting enough moisture streaming into southeast Texas to raise our chance of a little rain, with some rain and scattered storms from morning through mid-afternoon.
As the dip rushes far west into Texas, our chances of rain drop dramatically tonight and into next week.
August 13 6:30 pm
We are continuing to monitor a wide area of low pressure in the Gulf. This brought us scattered rain on Saturday and could bring us a few more showers and storms on Sunday as more moisture is pumped in from the Southeast. The NHC gave this a 20% chance of developing in the next 48 hours. This area of low pressure should move west into southern Texas between Corpus Christi and Brownsville early Sunday morning.
August 13
We are currently monitoring an area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico that could bring scattered showers to southeast Texas. The National Hurricane Center currently shows only a 10% chance of development on this system.
Regardless of any development, the most significant rain from this system will remain southwest of our region. The best chances of rain today and tomorrow will be in our neck of the woods along the coast.
August 12 6:30 pm
The National Hurricane Center holds only a 10% chance of this bay disturbance developing into a tropical depression or storm called Daniel. These odds may increase tomorrow if we see storms blasting over the center. If that happens, hurricane hunters will likely fly into the turbulence to gather more information.
August 12 3:30 pm
Precipitation forecasts are increasing in the southern half of Texas as depressions in the Gulf are slowly gaining regulation.
August 12
The low pressure swirling in the bay this weekend has only a 10% chance of developing before it moves inland around Corpus Christi and weakens. The system will help bring some much needed rain across southeast Texas, especially along the coast, but it is very unlikely that this will become a tropical depression or a named system.
Typhoon activity typically begins to pick up in August and peaks in September, so we expect things to get more active as we move over the coming weeks.
August 10
In the Atlantic, a tropical wave moving across the mid-Atlantic has a low chance (30%) of developing over the next five days as it tracks west. Preferably, this system bends away from the United States without any effects.
Typhoon activity typically begins to pick up in August and peaks in September, so we expect things to get more active as we move over the coming weeks.
August 9
In the Atlantic, a tropical wave passing south of the Cabo Verde Islands has a low (30%) chance of developing over the next five days as it heads west across the mid-Atlantic. Preferably, this system bends away from the United States without any effects.
Typhoon activity typically begins to pick up in August and peaks in September, so we expect things to get more active as we move over the coming weeks.
August 8
A tropical wave originating off the west coast of Africa has a medium (40%) chance of developing over the next five days. Even if it so happens that the storm poses no threat to the Houston area.
Typhoon activity typically begins to pick up in August and peaks in September, so we expect things to get more active as we move over the coming weeks.
August 7
The chance that the tropical wave we’ve been watching in the Atlantic will develop is now up to 40% over the next five days. Even if it so happens that the storm poses no threat to the Houston area.
Typhoon activity typically begins to pick up in August and peaks in September, so we expect things to get more active as we move over the coming weeks.
August 6 7 pm
The National Hurricane Center is now giving the tropical wave leaving Africa a medium chance (40%) to develop over the next five days. Early indications are that it will re-emerge north before it threatens the Gulf of Mexico, but at least take it as a reminder that the bulk of hurricane season is still ahead. We will keep you posted if anything changes.
August 6
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a new area of potential development in the Atlantic Ocean. The chances of development remain low (only 20%) over the next five days.
Typhoon activity typically begins to pick up in August and peaks in September, so we expect things to get more active as we move over the coming weeks.
August 5
A thin layer of desert dust brings some fog on Friday and disappears on the weekend.
Storms are still not likely to occur over the Atlantic basin over the next five days.
Radar maps:
Southeast Texas
Houston
Harris County
Galveston County
Montgomery / Walker / San Jacinto / Polk / Grimes counties
Fort Bend/Wharton/Colorado counties
Provinces of Brazoria / Matagorda
During hurricane season, stay prepared and be sure to download the ABC13 Houston app!
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