Cannes Predictions: Tori and Lukita, Holly Spider, Sadness Triangle

The 2022 Cannes Film Festival is drawing to a close, and soon the jury will be selecting the awards for this year’s impressive, albeit quieter, slate of films. After last year’s Titane by Julia Ducornu went down in history as the first fully female-directed film to win the Palme d’Or (Jane Campion’s “The Piano” came close to “Farewell My Concubine” in 1993), at this point in the festival, it doesn’t seem likely that a project Run by a woman going out this year.

French-Italian director Valeria Bruni-Tedeschi’s “Forever Young” appears to be the only film directed by a woman who has so far sparked her passion to get her to the finish line. Among the 21 competing films, women directed Claire Dennis’ “Stars at Noon”, “Appearance” by Kelly Richard, “Mother and Son” by Leonor Serail, Charlotte Vandermerch and Felix van Groningen’s “Eight Mountains.”

Only eight filmmakers have won the festival’s grand prize more than once: Alf Schoeberg (1946, 1951), Francis Ford Coppola (1974, 1979), Bill August (1988, 1992), Emir Kusturica (1985, 1995), Shuhei Imamura (1983, 1997), Jean-Pierre and Luc Dardenne (1999, 2005), Michael Haneke (2009, 2012) and Ken Loach (2006, 2016).

Could the Darden brothers become the first directors to win three times with the well-received “Tori and Lucita”? Although every jury is different during the festival, politics always plays a role when awarding prizes. Although the 85-minute feature is likable, it would be unprecedented for them to award Belgian authors a third time, rather than awarding new talent that they also deserve.

One of the most sought-after titles in the south of France was Ali Abbasi’s “Holy Spider”, which won Un Certain Regard for “Border” at the 2018 festival. “Border” was nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyle at the Academy Awards after failing to make it to the top. Sweden International Shortlist.

The film is based on the true story of Saeed Hani (performed by Mehdi Baghestani), a serial killer who targets sex workers in Iran. With all the film’s passion about Cannes, it seems destined to win something, and if it doesn’t live up to the palm of the hand, it’s possible that Bigstani would be the potential winner of Best Actor or even fellow Zaire Amir Ebrahimi for Best Actress.

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‘Decision to leave’
Courtesy of the Cannes Film Festival

Park Chan-wook’s “Decision to Leave” is among the best-reviewed films in the competition, currently ranking 89th on Metacritic and 90% on Rotten Tomatoes. While the movie isn’t among his best features, including “Oldboy” (2004) and “The Handmaiden” (2016), his former love interest received at Cannes (like winning Best Director) may finally make him walk away. About the summit award.

Acting races will be fun to watch. For Best Actress, only two Cannes winners have received an Oscar nomination in the past 20 years, and coincidentally both tied for other recipients – Penelope Cruz for Volver (2006, which she shared with her other co-stars) and Rooney Mara for “Carol” (2015, tied with Emmanuel Bercot).

As toilet manager Abigail, Dolly de Leon owns the final third of Robin Ostlund’s “Sadness Triangle”, which Neon picked up. This could be a great start to her award chances and likely help her run a supporting actress.

The Academy Awards winners’ interest in Cannes seems to favor the best actors rather than the actresses. In the past 12 years, four Cannes Film Festival winners have gone to Academy nominations – Javier Bardem (“Biutiful”), eventual Academy Award winner Jean Dujardin (“The Artist”), Bruce Dern (“Nebraska”) and Antonio Banderas (” Pain and glory”). Despite the surprise win last year for Caleb Landry Jones (“Nitram”), who didn’t go anywhere near the Oscars, the award is still important. I’m keeping a close eye on Viggo Mortensen’s role in “Crimes of the Future” that could snuggle up for the award, and provide a sexy turn in a divisive movie.

The Palme d’Or winner’s record of success has varied over the years. Over the past two decades, Roman Polanski’s “The Pianist” (2002), Terrence Malik’s “Tree of Life” (2011), Michael Haneke’s “Amour” (2012), and Bong Joon-ho’s “Parasite” (2019) have received accolades. Best results photo filters. However, “Parasite” is one of only two Cannes winners who have matched an Oscar, the other being “Marty” (1955).

Some of the hottest titles have emerged out of the competition, such as “Elvis” with Austin Butler, “Three Thousand Years of Longing” with Idris Elba and Tilda Swinton, and “Top Gun: Maverick” with Tom Cruise. None of these films qualify for awards, though Cruise was unexpectedly awarded the honorary award upon screening of the film.

The official competition jury members are: Vincent Lyndon (French actor and jury chairperson), Asghar Farhadi (Iranian director, screenwriter and producer), Rebecca Hall (English-American actress, producer, director and screenwriter), Ladge Lee (French director and screenwriter), actor and producer ), Jeff Nichols (American director and screenwriter), Deepika Padukone (Indian actress), Nomi Rapas (Swedish actress), Joachim Trier (Norwegian director and screenwriter) and Jasmine Trinca (Italian actress and director).

Here are some predictions that will be announced on Saturday:

Official Cannes Awards Predictions

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Holy spider
Courtesy of the Cannes Film Festival

Key Competition Predictions

Golden Palm: “The Holy Spider” (Ali Abbasi).
alternates: “Tori and Lukita” (Jean-Pierre and Luc Dardenne) and “Decision to Leave” (Park Chan-wook)

Grand prize: “Torrey and Luketa” (Jean-Pierre and Luc Dardenne)
alternates: “Decision to Leave” (Park Chan-wook) and “Broker” (Hirokazu Kore-eda)

best director: Park Chan-wook (“Decision to leave”)
alternates: Robin Ostlund (“The Triangle of Grief”) and Christian Mungiu (“RMN”)

Best Actress: Dolly de Leon (“The Triangle of Grief”)
alternates: Léa Seydoux (“Future Crimes”) and Tang Wei (“Decision to Leave”)

best actor: Viggo Mortensen (“Future Crimes”)
alternates: Mehdi Baghstani (“Holy Spider”) and Song Kang-ho (“Broker”)

best scenario: Christian Mungio (“RMN”)
alternates: James Gray (“Armageddon Timing”) and Robin Ostlund (“The Triangle of Sorrow”)

Jury Prize: “Close” (Lucas Donut)
alternates: “The Eight Mountains” (Charlotte Vandermerch, Felix van Groningen) and “The Appearance” (Kelly Richardt)

Un Certain Regard Predictions:

Un Certain Regard Award: “The Stranger” (Thomas M. Wright)
alternative: “The Silent Twins” (Agnieszka Smoczyńska)

Un Certain Regard Jury Prize: “Korsig” (Mary Kreutzer)
alternative: “Joy Land” (Saim Sadiq)

Un Certain Regard Ensemble Award: “The Father and the Soldier” (Mathew Fadebed)
alternative: “The Silent Twins” (Agnieszka Smoczyńska)



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