Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official awards predictions for the upcoming Oscars and Emmys ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis; Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis dissecting the trends and contenders by television editor Michael Schneider (for Emmys) and Davis (for Oscars); Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly interview series with talent and an expert roundtable discussion; and Awards Circuit Video analyzes various categories and contenders by Variety's leading awards pundits. Variety's unmatched coverage gives its readership unbeatable exposure in print and online, as well as provide inside reports on all the contenders in this year's awards season races.
To see all the latest predictions, of all the categories, in one place, visit
THE EMMYS COLLECTIVE
Visit each category, per the individual awards show from
THE EMMYS HUB
To see old predictions and commentary, click the EMMY PREDICTIONS ARCHIVES
For film awards predictions go to
THE OSCARS HUB
UPDATED: July 9, 2022
2022 EMMYS Forecast:
Featured Documentary (Series)
Comment on the prediction of prizes:
Directed and produced by dreamy film director Peter Jackson (“The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King”), the eight-hour special was a critical and huge smash on the streaming platform. Having already taken home accolades along the way, including a PGA award, the nomination seems like a lock for “The Beatles: Get Back.”
Emmy-winner for his series “United Shades of America,” W. Kamau Bell’s intense, eye-opening exploration of Bill Cosby’s life, career, and conviction (and the cancellation of that conviction) was among the best shown at the 2022 Sundance Film Festival, where Acquired by Showtime. “We need to talk about Cosby” could go the distance.
Executive Produced by Amy Darling Ryan Murphy, “The Andy Warhol Diaries” follows the artist as he recounts the entries for his own diary by employing artificial intelligence technology (voiced by Bill Irwin), as contemporaries and other Warhol experts. The Netflix series can strike a chord of nostalgia with the members.
Ray Russo-Young (Gotham Prize Winner “You Won’t Miss Me”) turns the camera on herself in the three-episode “Nuclear Family” series, where she offers a poignant examination of her mother’s battle to keep her children after being sued by sperm donors. The timely nature of action can strike a chord with voters, especially since reproductive rights are still under attack in America.
“NYC Epicenters: 9/11 → 2021½” is a sobering view of life and death through the eyes of one of the cinema’s masters, Spike Lee. The short series chronicles New York City from the September 11 attacks through the COVID-19 pandemic, accentuating the harsh reality of the city’s never-ending struggle for survival. Already an Emmy winner, anything Lee touches stays in the awards conversation.
A four-part look at the rise and bravery of Irvin Johnson, aka Magic Johnson, the Los Angeles Lakers star. One of the last touchdowns in the race, if enough Academy Television gets to call me Magic, it could be an opportunity for some love, especially voters who remember the Showtime Lakers in the ’80s.
Following the life of controversial character and Grammy-winning rapper Kanye West, “jeen-yuhs: A Kanye Trilogy” is an intimate portrait of his rise from musician to businessman. In addition, it is one of the most viewed and disputed documents this year.
Directed by Chris Smith, “Jim and Andy: The Great Beyond” (2017) and “Fire” (2019) received Emmy nominations, the seven-episode HBO documentary series “100 Foot Wave,” which is about big-time surfer Garrett McNamara was a hit with critics in July 2021. Goodwill and pick-up in season two carry it away with the voters.
“McCartney 3, 2, 1” – A six-part series, produced by Rick Rubin, icon Paul McCartney discusses his work with the Beatles and as one of the greatest solo artists of all time. Probably greatly helped by the other Beatles in the race, he has a solid chance of pressing in this category.
One of the new kids in the arena, the series follows actor Will Smith (a pre-Oscar slap) as he sets out to provide insight into some of the world’s most remote and unknown locations. With executive producers Ari Handel, Darren Aronofsky and Jane Root, this could be an interesting test of how Smith will either spin (or increase) Amy Love’s chances.
Also in the mix are Showtime’s “Everything Goes All White,” HBO’s “Catch and Kill: The Podcast Tapes,” PBS’ “American Masters,” and Netflix’s “Voir.”
See the full final predictions for all 101 Emmy Awards categories here.
Read more: miscellaneous Awards Circle Emmys Prediction Center
The full calendar of TV Awards season is linked here.
2021 class winner: “Secrets of Whales” (Disney +)
All competitors and prize classifications:
Predictions for 2022 Primetime Emmy Awards
Emmys Creative Arts Predictions for 2022
About the Primetime Emmy Awards (Emmys)
The Primetime Emmy Awards, known as the Emmys, is presented by the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, awards have recognized excellence in prime-time American television programming. They are divided into three categories – the Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (which honor craftsmanship), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (in recognition of important engineering and technology contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any year. The Television Academy has more than 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, and numerous craftspeople and executives.
- The 74th Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, September 12, and air on NBC.
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